If you’re in
a rush, the short answer to the title question is no. Absolutely not. If you’re
not in a rush, allow me to elaborate on why this is the case. ‘Leave’
supporters are generally quite reticent to say what the UK’s relationship with
the EU would be in the event of Brexit. They are far, far, more comfortable
criticising our current membership, than on setting out an attractive
alternative. There’s a good reason for this. None of the alternative
relationships currently in existence, as enjoyed by other countries, would be
particularly attractive for the UK. In this piece we will examine one such
alternative, the one experienced by non-EU member state Norway. And it’s
certainly not the relationship ‘Leave’ supporters imply we could achieve after
a Brexit.
Brexit
supporters talk a lot about reducing immigration and ‘controlling our borders’.
Well Norway is part of the European free movement of labour scheme, and has
even joined the passport-free Schengen zone. Brexit supporters talk about how
much we could save if we didn't contribute financially to the EU, and how
European law undermines our sovereignty. Well as we will see Norway still makes
a sizeable contribution to the EU’s budget, and implements a good proportion of
EU law despite only minimal influence on its formation. In brief, if you’re a
Brexit supporter trying to secure votes, I wouldn't recommend the Norwegian
model.
As mentioned
previously Norway is not an EU member. Her populace rejected EU membership
twice via referendums, albeit by a small majority, in 1972 and 1994. Norway,
along with fellow non-EU countries Iceland and Liechtenstein, is however signed
up to the European Economic Area (EEA). This gives Norway equal tariff free
access to the EU’s single market, but this access comes at a price. For a start
Norway has to accept EU regulations on the free movement of goods, persons and
capital. This means that EU nationals have the right to work in Norway, and
Norwegian nationals have the right to work in other EU countries. In short, if
the UK votes to leave the EU and then signs up to a Norwegian style deal, it
will make precisely no difference to EU migration. EU nationals would still
have the right to live and work in the UK. EEA countries also make a
significant financial contribution to the EU, in return for single market
access. Brexit supporters enthusiastically point out that the UK is a net
contributor to the EU, yet the same is true of Norway which isn’t an EU member.
Indeed, according to the Norwegian Ministry for Foreign Affairs, between 2009
and 2014 Norway provided almost €1.8 billion to the EU, as a result of her EEA
membership and participation in various EU programmes.
Perhaps the
most inappropriate part of Norway’s relationship with the EU, as a potential
model for the UK, is the impact it has on sovereignty. Brexit supporters tend
to place great emphasis on the importance of British sovereignty, which they
argue is being undermined by European bureaucrats. They frequently allege that
our EU membership weakens our democracy. Now of course this is unfair, and
indeed is insulting to those who genuinely live under non-democratic systems of
Government. It’s also ironic. Prominent Eurosceptics frequently criticise the
EU for its lack of democracy, but never suggest measures, such as a directly
elected EU President or giving the EU Parliament the power to introduce
legislation, which would help to remedy this problem. Indeed, when the main parties
in the European Parliament agreed to support the candidate of whichever party
got the most seats in the 2014 European Parliament elections, a step which made
the EU more democratic, it was Eurosceptics like Nigel Farage and Daniel Hannan
who objected most fervently.
What then,
would the implications of a Norwegian style relationship with the EU be for UK
sovereignty? The answer I’m afraid, is terrible, and certainly significantly
worse than our current relationship. Norway’s EEA membership requires her to
adopt EU laws which relate to the common market. Norway has also agreed to
align itself with the EU in a number of other policy areas, and so implements
EU laws in these areas as well. However Norway has almost no influence on any
of these laws, which it agrees to enforce, having little input beyond the right
to be consulted. The result, alas, is a democratic deficit. Once EU laws are
ratified the Joint Committee of the EEA looks to extend them, usually without
amendment, to non-EU members of the EEA such as Norway. As a result, according
to the House of Commons library’s ‘Norway’s relationship with the EU’ report,
Norway incorporates around three-quarters of EU legislation into its domestic
law. EU law impacts around 170 out of a total of 600 Norwegian statues, and
approximately 1,000 Norwegian regulations. Norway even adheres voluntarily to
EU fisheries quotas and conservation schemes.
To examine
its relationship with Europe the Norwegian Government set up an EEA Review
Committee, which reported in January 2012. It’s worth quoting the part of the
conclusion that notes Norway’s lack of influence over the EU law which it has
to adopt:
‘Norway is in practice bound to adopt
EU policies and rules on a broad range of issues without being a member and
without voting rights. This raises democratic problems. Norway is not
represented in decision-making processes that have direct consequences for
Norway, and neither do we have significant influence on them’.
This point
was repeated on 2 March, in an interview with the BBC, by Norwegian Prime
Minister Erna Solberg who stated that ‘We are integrating the laws they are
making for the single market…but basically we have left part of our democracy
to Europe’. She went on to rubbish the notion that the UK could gain
single-market access in the event of Brexit, without accepting free movement of
labour, stating that ‘To believe you’ll get everything you want without giving
something back does not happen in any political body’. Brexit supporters assert
that our EU membership undermines our democracy. This is deeply simplistic, but
Norway’s lack of EU membership certainly does undermine her democracy. Norway
implements a large body of EU law, despite having no input into its
formulation. From a democratic point of view, for the UK to leave the EU and
adopt a Norwegian style relationship with its institutions would be a major
step back. The former Swedish Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Carl Bildt
recently described Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein as having a ‘sort of
satellite status’ to the EU. Surely that’s not a relationship that would work
for the UK?
To sum up,
Norway may not be an EU member, but she does have to implement a good
proportion of EU law, pay into the EU budget and accept free movement of
labour. This model would clearly not be acceptable for the UK. It’s about time
Brexit supporters stop accusing their opponents of ‘scaremongering’, and start
asserting what relationship Britain should have with the EU if we leave, and
how this can realistically be achieved. They will struggle with this, because
there are no easy answers.
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